Scientific journal

ISSN 1814-2400

INFORMATION SCIENCE AND CONTROL SYSTEMS

Abakumov A., Yakovlev A. A.

MATRIX MODEL OF DEMOGRAPHIC-EPIDEMIC DYNAMICS OF THE POPULATION OF RUSSIA

The data and the main demographic characteristics of the Russian population dynamics are analyzed on the basis of Rosstat’s official published data for 1995 – 2018. G matrix of the vector transition of the age groups from year to year was designed, its characteristics were determined. Model estimates of the probability of contracting tuberculosis and recovering from it were made.

Keywords: matrix model, demography, age structure, tuberculosis