Scientific journal

ISSN 1814-2400

INFORMATION SCIENCE AND CONTROL SYSTEMS

Abramov O.V., Nazarov D.A.

METHODS AND MEANS OF INTELLECTUAL SUPPORT FOR FORECASTING THE TECHNICAL CONDITION OF RESPONSIBLE SYSTEMS

The authors propose a variant of the expert-statistical approach to solving the problem of forecasting the processes of changing the parameters of the responsible systems technical condition. The paper also deals with the problems of creating specialized software (intellectual support tools) with the necessary problem orientation (forecasting the degradation of the technical condition) which helps to enhance the quality of the forecast.

Keywords: parameter, technical condition, responsible systems, forecasting, reliability, intelligent decision support system, precedent.